Usefulness of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in predicting adverse events in elderly patients with chronic heart failure

Abstract

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte (N/L) ratio has been associated with poor outcomes in patients with cardiovascular diseases, but it has not been studied in elderly patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). In this study, we analyzed 1355 elderly patients admitted with CHF. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to assess the independent association of the N/L ratio with chronic kidney disease (CKD). The patients were then divided into tertiles according to the N/L ratios. We used Cox regression analysis to assess the association between the N/L ratio and subsequent major cardiovascular events (MCE), including cardiac death and rehospitalization for heart failure. In the multiple logistic regression analysis, the N/L ratio was identified as a risk factor for CKD in elderly patients with CHF (odds ratio [OR] = 1.170, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.054 to 1.298, P = 0.003). The median follow-up period was 18 months. In a multivariate analysis with the lowest tertile as the reference, the highest tertile of the N/L ratio remained significantly associated with MCE (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.425, 95% CI 1.109 to 1.832, P = 0.006), cardiac death (HR = 1.747, 95% CI 1.032 to 2.958, P = 0.038), and rehospitalization for heart failure (HR = 1.461, 95% CI 1.108 to 1.927, P = 0.007). In elderly patients with CHF, the N/L ratio is one of the important risk factors for CKD and the highest tertile of the N/L ratio is associated with an increased risk for MCE.