Estimasi Kapasitas Adaptasi Petani Padi Terhadap Cekaman Lingkungan Usahatani Akibat Perubahan Iklim

Abstract

Climate change causes rice farming environmental stress escalation such as flood, drought and pest are increasing. This study aims to estimate rice farmers' adaptive capacity to the unfavorable environment. Study sites are the wetland agro-ecosystem of several villages in Lampung, Central Java, and West Nusa Tenggara Provinces on 2012. Using a Structural Equation Modeling (SEM), the model applied to estimate the capacity of adaptation is the Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes (MIMIC). The results show that the farmers' adaptive capacity vary from low to medium levels. The proportion of farmers categorized as low, moderate, and high adaptive capacity are 16, 70, and 14 percent, respectively. Adaptive capacity is affected by the role of rice faming in households economy, quality and vulnerability of rice field to flood and drought, and household income, farmers' education, and role of farmer's group in building collective action to control flood, drought, and pest in rice farming.