Study and application of safety risk evaluation model for CO2 geological storage based on uncertainty measure theory

Abstract

Analyzing showed that the safety risk evaluation for CO2 geological storage had important significance. Aimed at the characteristics of CO2 geological storage safety risk evaluation, drawing on previous research results, rank and order models for safety risk evaluation of CO2 geological storage were put forward based on information entropy and uncertainty measure theory. In this model, the uncertainty problems in safety risk evaluation of CO2 geological storage were solved by qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis, respectively; uncertainty measurement functions for the relevant factors were established based on experimental data; information entropy theory was applied to calculate the index weight of factors; safety risk level was judged based on credible degree recognition criterion and ordered. This model was applied in three typical zones of Erdos and Hetao basins. The results show that uncertainty measure method is objective and reasonable and can be used as a new way to evaluate the safety of CO2 geological storage sites in the future.