Risk factors analysis of car door crashes based on logistic regression

Abstract

Unlike door crash accidents predominantly involving bicycles in Australia, the UK, and other Western countries, cases in Taiwan are far more fatal as they usually involve motorcycles. This is due to the unique anthropogeography and transportation patterns of Taiwan, particularly the numbers of motorcycles being twice that of cars. Both path analysis and multivariate logistic regression methods were adopted in this study. The multivariate logistic regression analysis results have shown that the main risk factors causing serious injuries in door crashes include winter, morning, male motorcyclists, heavy motorcycles, and the left sides of cars. Regarding the gender differences in motorcyclists, it appears that female motorcyclists have higher door crash accident rates, while the odds of severe injury and fatality in male motorcyclists are 1.658 times greater than that of female motorcyclists. The risk factors derived from the multivariate logistic regression analysis were further discussed and analysed. It was found that the causes of serious injuries and deaths stemming from door crashes were related to the risk perception ability, reaction ability, visibility, and riding speed of the motorcyclists. Therefore, suggestions on risk management and accident prevention were proposed using advocacy through the 3E strategies of human factors engineering design.