SIMULASI MONTE CARLO DALAM MEMPREDIKSI PEMAKAIAN OBAT PENYAKIT GIGI DAN MULUT PADA RUMAH SAKIT

Abstract

The use of drugs in patients with dental disease is a necessity that needs to be considered by the hospital in providing medical services to patients. Adequate and well-managed drug supply prevents shortages or excess drug stocks. So it needs good planning in managing and monitoring drug stocks appropriately. This study aims to make predictions in the use of dental disease drugs by using a monte carlo simulation. The data used is data on the use of drugs for dental diseases from 2020 to 2022. The data on drug use processed were 12 types of drugs. The data will be processed based on the Monte Carlo simulation stages. The results of using the Monte Carlo Simulation are to obtain predictions of the use of dental disease drugs with an accuracy value reaching 89.14%. Based on the accuracy value obtained, the Monte Carlo simulation can be used to predict drug use in the future. So that the supply of dental disease medicine is maintained.