The Relationship between International Oil Prices and Current Account Deficit: The Case of Turkey

Abstract

In developing countries such as Turkey, the current account deficit, occuring due to the lack of national savings, is considered to be one of the determinants of economic crisis. At the same time owing to Turkey is dependent on foreign countries for energy resources, current account deficit is highly sensitive to fluctuations in the prices of these resources. This paper, investigates the causal relationship between international oil prices and current account deficit for Turkey using Johansen cointegration and causality tests. The empirical findings show that there is a relationship between two variables in the long term.