Comércio internacional e competitividade do Brasil: um estudo comparativo utilizando a metodologia Constant-Market-Share para o período 2000-2011

Abstract

RESUMOO presente estudo aplica a metodologia de Constant-Market-Share para analisar o desempenho exportador do Brasil, China, Estados Unidos, Alemanha, Rússia, Coreia do Sul e Japão, entre 2000 e 2011. Após decompor a variação das exportações foi possível constatar que o efeito-competitividade parece ser influenciado pelo padrão de especialização das economias.ABSTRACTThis paper evaluates the export performance of Brazil, China, United States, Germany, Russia, South Korea, and Japan, between 2000 and 2011, based on the recent literature on international competitiveness. By applying the Constant-Market-Share model, it was possible to quantify the contribution of product composition, market distribution and competitiveness on the growth in exports of each country. It was found that growing international demand favoured the commodity exporters as well as countries that prioritized the most dynamic markets (especially Asia). The results on the competitiveness effect were less accurate given that the impact of determinant factors varies according to the specialization pattern of each economy.