Critical risk factors of public building green retrofit projects- an empirical study in Chongqing, China

Abstract

In order to discuss the critical risk factors of green retrofit project in existing public buildings, this study identifies the risk factors from the whole life cycle firstly, and the experts are invited to assess the probability of the occurrence, the degree of the severity, and the follow-up effect of the risk occurrence, respectively. In addition, a Choquet integral-based FMEA (Failure mode and effect analysis) model is introduced to assess and analyze the risks in which the descriptive language results are transformed into triangle fuzzy number to analyze the risk assessment results quantitatively, and the relative preference relations are used to rank the risk factors, empirical study is conducted focusing on Chongqing. Based on the proposed risk assessment model, the top 10 high-risk factors in green retrofit projects of public buildings are extracted, the possible potential causes are analyzed, and the corresponding risk response measures are proposed, which provide references for the improvement of risk management in urban renewal.