Predicting Graduate Employability Using Hybrid AHP-TOPSIS and Machine Learning: A Moroccan Case Study

Abstract

The persistent issue of unemployment and the mismatch between graduate skills and labor market demands has drawn increasing attention from academics and educational institutions, especially in light of rapid advancements in technology. Emerging technologies such as Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) offer valuable opportunities to analyze job market dynamics. In this work, we present a novel framework aimed at predicting graduate employability using current labor market data from Morocco. Our approach combines Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) techniques with ML-based predictive models. AHP prioritizes employability factors and TOPSIS ranks skill demands—together forming input features for machine learning models. 2100 job listings obtained through web scraping, we trained and evaluated several ML models. Among them, the K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) classifier demonstrated the highest accuracy, achieving 99.71% accuracy through 5-fold cross-validation. While the study is based on a limited dataset, it highlights the practical relevance of combining MCDM methods with ML for employability prediction. This study is among the first to integrate AHP–TOPSIS with KNN for employability prediction using real-time Moroccan labor market data.