Operation loop-based optimization model for resource allocation to military countermeasures versus probabilistic threat

Abstract

Weapons development planning is an unstructured and complex multi-criteria decisionmaking problem, especially in antagonistic environments. In this paper, the defender's decision was modelled as a high complexity non-linear optimization problem with limited resources. An operation loop with realistic link rules was first proposed to model the cooperation relationships among weapons in the defense system. The system dynamics principle was used to characterize the dynamic behavior of the nodes in a complex weapons network. Then, we used cumulative threat and development risk to measure different planning solutions by considering the opponent and uncertainties in the development process. Next, an improved Differential Evolution (DE) and Non-Dominated Sorting Differential Evolution (NSDE) were designed to determine the optimal planning solutions for a single objective and multi-objective. The compromise solution, based on the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution (TOPSIS), was used to evaluate the Pareto solution set of the multi-objective. Finally, an illustrative case was studied to verify the feasibility and validity of the proposed model.