High flows contributed a large part of annual contaminant yields in New Zealand’s rivers

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Abstract

Accurate contaminant yield estimation in rivers is essential to developing water quality policies and monitoring their effectiveness over time. We assessed the contribution of high-flows (≥90th percentile) to total yields of nitrate-nitrogen, total nitrogen, total phosphorus, and E. coli calculated from monthly data over 15 years (310–325 sites) in New Zealand, and at 24 sites with high-frequency (30-min) nitrate-nitrogen and total phosphorus. High flows contributed 51–74% of annual contaminant yields at long-term sites and 48% of nitrate-nitrogen and 63% of total phosphorus in the high-frequency sites. Mean uncertainties in annual yields estimated from monthly monitoring data (compared to the true yield, calculated from high-frequency records) were 29% for nitrate-nitrogen and 52% for total phosphorus. Daily sampling was needed to reduce uncertainty to <10% especially in catchments with a high proportion of agricultural land use.

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McDowell, R. W., Meenken, E., Noble, A., Kittridge, M., Ausseil, O., Keenan, L., … Doscher, C. (2025). High flows contributed a large part of annual contaminant yields in New Zealand’s rivers. Communications Earth and Environment, 6(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02238-9

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