A Hybrid Data-Driven Approach for Multistep Ahead Prediction of State of Health and Remaining Useful Life of Lithium-Ion Batteries

Abstract

In this paper, a novel multistep ahead predictor based upon a fusion of kernel recursive least square (KRLS) and Gaussian process regression (GPR) is proposed for the accurate prediction of the state of health (SoH) and remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries. The empirical mode decomposition is utilized to divide the battery capacity into local regeneration (intrinsic mode functions) and global degradation (residual). The KRLS and GPR submodels are employed to track the residual and intrinsic mode functions. For RUL, the KRLS predicted residual signal is utilized. The online available experimental battery aging data are used for the evaluation of the proposed model. The comparison analysis with other methodologies (i.e., GPR, KRLS, empirical mode decomposition with GPR, and empirical mode decomposition with KRLS) reveals the distinctiveness and superiority of the proposed approach. For 1-step ahead prediction, the proposed method tracks the trajectory with the root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.2299, and the increase of only 0.2243 RMSE is noted for 30-step ahead prediction. The RUL prediction using residual signal shows an increase of 3 to 5% in accuracy. This proposed methodology is a prospective approach for an efficient battery health prognostic.