CHINA'S INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE UPGRADE in the "nEW NORMAL": EMPIRICAL TEST and DETERMINANTS

Abstract

This paper measures the index of industrial structure upgrade nationally, regionally and provincially by employing angle cosine method. The results show that China's industrial structure has upgraded and the East is higher than the Northeast and the Midwest. The paper presents an empirical study to examine the effect of variables including demand-side factors, New Normal as a dummy variable and supply-side factors on industrial structure upgrading. It implies that New Normal is not significant, while consumption, investment, technology improvement and labor supply significantly facilitate the upgrade. It highlights policy suggestions designed to adopt innovation-driven strategy and regional economy development strategy.