Global tropical cyclone extreme wave height climatology

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Abstract

A global study of extreme value (1 in 100-year return period) tropical cyclone generated waves is conducted across all tropical cyclone basins. The study uses a 1000 year tropical cyclone synthetic track database to force a validated parametric wave model. The resulting distributions of extreme significant wave height show that values in the North Atlantic and Western Pacific basins are the largest globally. This is partly due to the relative intensities and frequencies of occurrence of storms in these basins but also because the typical velocities of forward movement of storms are larger and hence can sustain the generation of larger waves. These larger values of velocity of forward movement tend to occur at higher latitudes. As a result, in both of these basins the largest extreme waves occur at higher latitudes than the maximum tropical cyclone winds. In all other tropical cyclone basins, storms tend to propagate more east–west and hence the maximum values of extreme significant wave height and wind speed occur at comparable latitudes.

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Grossmann-Matheson, G., Young, I. R., Meucci, A., & Alves, J. H. (2024). Global tropical cyclone extreme wave height climatology. Scientific Reports, 14(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-54691-9

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