Políticas sociales y mercado de trabajo en argentina:el efecto de la AUH en la informalidad laboral

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to analyze the effect of the UCA (Universal Child Allowance) in labor informality in Argentina. The results obtained indicate that, controlling for other factors, the UCA does not have a statistically significant effect on labor informality, when either the productive or labor approach are considered. Instead, variables that account for macro-structural factors such as the size of the firm/institution, the level of income y, very specially, secular trends that affect every employed turned out to be the most relevant in the analysis. The methodology to analyze the effect of the program on labor informality was based on the fixed effects estimator, whose main advantage is related with the nature of panel data and is that of controlling by unobserved effects that are fixed over time. The average treatment effect was estimated based on the differences-in-differences estimator, for which the identification of the treatment and control groups resulted central. (English) [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]