Prognostic value of cartilage intermediate layer protein 1 in chronic heart failure

Abstract

Aims: Emerging evidence suggests that cartilage intermediate layer protein 1 (CILP-1) is associated with myocardial remodelling. However, the prognostic value of circulating CILP-1 in patients with heart failure (HF) remains to be elucidated. This study aimed to investigate whether circulating CILP-1 can independently predict the outcome of chronic HF. Methods and results: This prospective cohort study included 210 patients with chronic HF and left ventricular ejection fraction <50% between September 2018 and December 2019. The primary endpoint was 1 year all-cause mortality. During the 1 year follow-up, 28 patients died. In multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, higher CILP-1 levels were independently associated with a higher risk of mortality after adjusting for potential confounding factors. In Kaplan–Meier analysis, patients with CILP-1 levels above the median had a significantly higher mortality rate than those with CILP-1 levels below the median (log-rank P = 0.015). In addition, CILP-1 significantly improved prognostic prediction over N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide by an increase in net reclassification improvement (P = 0.043) and a trend towards an increase in integrated discrimination improvement (P = 0.118). Conclusions: Circulating CILP-1 is a novel independent prognostic predictor in chronic HF.