Parameter Study of Geomagnetic Storms and Associated Phenomena: CME Speed De-Projection vs. In Situ Data

Abstract

In this study, we give correlations between the geomagnetic storm (GS) intensity and parameters of solar and interplanetary (IP) phenomena. We also perform 3D geometry reconstructions of geo-effective coronal mass ejections (CMEs) using the recently developed PyThea framework and compare on-sky and de-projected parameter values, focusing on the reliability of the de-projection capabilities. We utilize spheroid, ellipsoid and graduated cylindrical shell models. In addition, we collected a number of parameters of the GS-associated phenomena. A large variation in 3D de-projections is obtained for the CME speeds depending on the selected model for CME reconstruction and observer subjectivity. A combination of fast speed and frontal orientation of the magnetic structure upon its arrival at the terrestrial magnetosphere proves to be the best indicator for the GS strength. More reliable estimations of geometry and directivity, in addition to de-projected speeds, are important for GS forecasting in operational space weather schemes.