Severe COVID-19 and chronic kidney disease: bidirectional mendelian randomization study

Abstract

Traditional observational research has revealed an association between severe COVID-19 and chronic kidney disease (CKD). It is unclear whether there is a causative connection between them. Our goal was to determine whether genetically predicted CKD is associated with the risk of critical COVID-19. We aimed to investigate potential underlying genetic mechanisms that could explain this relationship, paving the way for personalized risk assessment and targeted interventions to mitigate the effects of COVID-19 on individuals with CKD. Using combined data from a GWAS on European ancestry and CKD (n = 117,165) and critical COVID-19 (n = 1,059,456), bidirectional Mendelian randomization analysis was performed. Four single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were chosen from the genome as CKD instrumental variables (IVs). In addition to MR‒Egger regression, weighted mode approaches, and weighted medians, we employed the inverse-variance weighted estimate as our primary analytical method. A significant association of CKD with critical COVID-19 (OR = 1.28, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04–1.58, p = 0.01811) was found. However, using 6 genome-wide significant SNPs as IVs for critical COVID‐19, we could not discover a meaningful correlation between severe COVID‐19 and CKD (OR = 1.03, 95% CI: 0.96–1.10, p = 0.3947). We found evidence to support a causal relationship between CKD and severe COVID-19 in European population. This underscores the need for comprehensive monitoring and specialized care strategies for individuals with CKD to mitigate the heightened risk and severity of COVID-19 complications.