Research on the Mechanism and Forecast of Power Grid Regulation Policy under the Background of New Electricity Reform in China

Abstract

This paper introduces the Network Analytic Hierarchy Process (ANP), constructs the internal relationship model of the policy, and determines the relationship between the indicators. On this basis, it quantifies the regulatory policies since the new power reform, and uses the weight of subjective and objective to determine the weight. The method determines the indicator weights of each indicator to determine the focus of the regulatory policy; then uses the Markov method to analyze the future trends of the policy, and establish a comprehensive scenario to simulate changes in the regulatory focus under the possible policy environment in the future. Look for the development strategy of power grid enterprises under this condition. The grid regulatory policy correlation model established in this paper effectively fits the complex relationship between the current policies. Based on the changes in the regulatory policies, a comprehensive scenario analysis model is constructed to comprehensively predict the regulatory policies in the next few years. It provides a useful reference for formulating policies and grid enterprise development strategies.