Family-Leave Mandates and Female Labor at U.S. Firms: Evidence from a Trade Shock

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Abstract

We examine how the 1993 Family and Medical Leave Act (FMLA) impacts the gender composition at U.S. firms experiencing a negative demand shock. Combining changes in Chinese imports across industries between 2000 and 2003 and a sharp regression discontinuity to identify FMLA status, we find that an increase in import competition decreases the share of female employment, earnings, and promotions at FMLA relative to non-FMLA firms. This effect is driven by women in prime child-bearing ages and without college degrees and is pronounced at firms with all male managers. These results suggest that job-protected leave mandates may exacerbate gender inequalities in response to adverse shocks.

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Kamal, F., Sundaram, A., & Tello-Trillo, C. J. (2026). Family-Leave Mandates and Female Labor at U.S. Firms: Evidence from a Trade Shock. Review of Economics and Statistics. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01436

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