Demographic, clinical and genetic factors associated with COVID-19 disease susceptibility and mortality in a Kurdish population

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a devastating pandemic that causes disease with a variability in susceptibility and mortality based on variants of various clinical and demographic factors, including particular genes among populations. OBJECTIVES: Determine associations of demographic, clinical, laboratory, and single nucleotide polymorphisms in the ACE2, TMPRSS2, TNF-α, and IFN-γ genes to the incidence of infection and mortality in COVID-19 patients. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study SETTINGS: Various cities in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This prospective cohort study compared laboratory markers (D-dimer, tumor necrosis factor-alpha [TNF-α], interferon-gamma [IFN-γ], C-reactive protein [CRP], lymphocyte and neutrophil counts) between COVID-19 patients and healthy controls. DNA was extracted from blood, and genotypes were done by Sanger sequencing. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Single nucleotide polymorphisms of the ACE2, TMPRSS2, TNF-α, and IFN-γ genes and demographic characteristics and laboratory markers for predicting mortality in COVID-19. SAMPLE SIZE: 203 (153 COVID-19 patients, 50 health control subjects). RESULTS: Forty-eight (31.4%) of the COVID-19 patients died. Age over 40 and comorbidities were risk factors for mortality, but the strongest associations were with serum IFN-γ, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and serum TNF-α. The AA genotype and A allele of TMPRSS2 rs2070788 decreased while the GA genotype and A allele of TNF-α increased susceptibility to COVID-19. Patients with the GA genotype of TNF-α rs1800629 had shorter survival times (9.9 days) than those carrying the GG genotype (18.3 days) (P