Modeling and solution based on stochastic games for development of COA under uncertainty

Abstract

Developing a course of action (COA) is a key step in military planning. In most extant studies on the COA development, only the unilateral actions of friendly forces are considered. Based on stochastic games, we propose models that could deal with the complexities and uncertainties of wars. By analyzing the equilibrium state of both opponent sides, outcomes preferable to one side could be achieved by adopting the methods obtained from the proposed models. This research could help decision makers take the right COA in a state of uncertainty.