The development of impact-oriented climate scenarios

Abstract

Most assessors require regional scenarios with a temporal resolution of one day and a spatial resolution of around 100 km. Scenarios should contain one or more of: 1) general descriptive statistics of the major climate elements, 2) information about climatic anomalies such as drought, 3) statistics on the frequency and probability of events exceeding particular thresholds, and 4) general synoptic information. Techniques of climate analysis currently available were reviewed for their suitability to meet these scenario needs. -from Authors