On the future economy of capture fisheries and the future consumer market for fish

Abstract

In this paper the author discusses the future of capture fisheries and the consumer market from the perspective of an experienced fisherman and the Japanese consumer. Projected world fishery production by 2010 is viewed as likely to fall short of the projected demand for human consumption. From the FAO projected range of 74-114 million tons by 2010, the author suggests a likely range between 80 and 90 million tons. The author's projection predicts an increased consumer demand in the range of 110-120 million tons by 2010, similar to FAO projections. Arguments are presented to justify these projections, and sends a clear message for far-reaching improvement in the utilization and management of marine resources and protection of the marine environment.