Persistence and stability of the disease-free equilibrium in a stochastic epidemic model with imperfect vaccine

Abstract

This paper concerns the dynamics of a stochastic SIVR epidemic model with imperfect vaccine where, differently from the epidemic model with perfect vaccine, the vaccinated is perturbed by the noise. This difference is the main difficulty to be conquered to give the threshold R0S. Firstly, R0S>1 is proved to be sufficient for persistence in mean of the system. Then, three conditions for the disease to die out are given, which improve the previously known results on extinction of the disease. In case that the disease goes extinct, we show that the disease-free equilibrium is almost surely stable by using the nonnegative semimartingale convergence theorem.