US President Donald Trump's Twitter Analysis and His Trade Policy Agenda

Abstract

This paper makes a text analysis of the US President Donald Trump and his trade policy agenda at the national and international levels, followed by evidence-based statistical analyses of US trade.The results of President Trump's twitters reveal that overall, President Donald Trump's remarks contain his "populism" characterized by the use of easy-to-understand words as well as simple rhetoric, as shown most symbolically in the phrase "make America great again".This is what is meant by "populism", an important character of his administration (at the "meso" level) which exerts a large impact on the global (or "macro") political and economic landscape.Such large-scale impacts can be generated by "micro" (individual level) remarks by President Trump.In more concrete terms, his micro (individual) speeches will influence his meso (national) level policy as well as the macro (NAFTA) level policy stance of the US.All these levels are interconnected in a sensitive way.NAFTA as a regional integration among the three nation states is actually under a significant influence from meso as well as micro interactions, and President Trump's punitive trade stance may hit Chinese export negatively.Due consideration to the cross-hierarchical linkages is indeed a practical viewpoint when discussing the current, rather US-dominated trade deals.