Observational study of risk factors associated with clinical outcome among elderly kidney transplant recipients in Sweden – a decade of follow-up

Abstract

Kidney transplantation (Ktx) in elderly has become increasingly accepted worldwide despite their higher burden of comorbidities. We investigated important risk factors affecting long-term patient and graft survival. We included all (n = 747) Ktx patients >60 years from 2000 to 2012 in Sweden. Patients were age-stratified, 60–64, 65–69 and >70 years. Follow-up time was up to 10 years (median 7.9 years, 75% percentile >10 years). Primary outcome was 10-year patient survival in age-stratified groups. Secondary outcomes were 5-year patient and graft survival in age-stratified groups and the impact of risk factors including Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) on patient and graft survival. Mortality was higher in patients >70 years, after 10 years (HR 1.94; 95% CI 1.24–3.04; P = 0.004). Males had a higher 10-year risk of death (HR 1.39; CI 95% 1.04–1.86; P = 0.024). Five-year patient survival did not differ between age groups. In multivariate Cox analysis (n = 500), hazard ratio for 10-year mortality was 4.6 in patients with CCI ≥7 vs. <4 (95% CI 2.42–8.62; P = 0.0001). Higher CCI identified ESKD patients with 4.6 times higher risk of death after Ktx. We suggest that this index should be used as a part of the preoperative evaluation in elderly.