Responses of Vegetation NDVI to Climate Change and Land Use in Ordos City, North China

Abstract

Ordos City lies in a semiarid-arid farm pastoral region in north China. In recent years, as an ecological security barrier and ecological vulnerable and sensitive region, the intensification of human activities and climate change in the foreseeable future have aroused people’s attention to ecological security issues. Based on the meteorological data of MOD13Q1 and the socioeconomic activity data in the same period, the variation characteristics of annual and seasonal vegetation NDVI, the response of vegetation NDVI to climate change, and the impact of human activities on vegetation NDVI in Ordos City from 2000 to 2020 were obtained by using trend analysis, sustainability analysis, and path analysis. The results showed that: (1) Ordos City vegetation NDVI showed an obvious growth trend, except for the interannual growth rate (0.0075/a), the growth rate in autumn increased faster than in other seasons (0.0067/a); (2) the future trend of vegetation NDVI in Ordos City is mainly anti-continuous improvement. If no effective measures are taken, the vegetation NDVI will degrade in the future; (3) precipitation was the main climate factor in the vegetation growth compared with temperature. An increase in precipitation promoted vegetation growth directly, while an increase in temperature showed a negative effect by reducing precipitation in the whole growing season; (4) the utilization pattern greatly affects the spatial distribution of vegetation NDVI, and stable land use can improve the utilization of vegetation.