Assessing Single-Trait and Multitrait Genomic Prediction Model Abilities Including Significant GWAS Markers for Fusarium Head Blight Disease Resistance in Wheat (Triticum aestivum)

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Abstract

Disease resistance traits are complex and quantitative in nature. Breeders regularly evaluate multiple important traits across diverse environments to employ them in genomics-assisted breeding. In this study, we evaluated the prospects of genomic prediction models by incorporating genome-wide association study (GWAS) results into single-trait and multitrait genomic prediction scenarios, using two distinct panels: the NMBU panel and the GRAMINOR panel. A standard genomic prediction model (Base) and the Base model with the addition of significant GWAS markers as fixed covariates (Base + GWAS) were tested on both panels. The predictive ability of models was measured in terms of prediction ability by using Pearson's correlation method. An improvement of 0.05% to as high as a two-fold improvement was observed in both the panels for single-trait and multitrait scenarios. In general, multitrait models outperformed single-trait models regardless of whether the GWAS markers were included. This study further concludes that multitrait-based genomic predictions are superior to single trait–based ones when the associated traits are used and are well correlated.

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Nannuru, V. K. R., Dieseth, J. A., McCartney, C. A., Henriquez, M. A., Buerstmayr, H., Michel, S., … Lillemo, M. (2025). Assessing Single-Trait and Multitrait Genomic Prediction Model Abilities Including Significant GWAS Markers for Fusarium Head Blight Disease Resistance in Wheat (Triticum aestivum). Plant Breeding, 144(3), 335–349. https://doi.org/10.1111/pbr.13245

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