Topic-aware Masked Attentive Network for Information Cascade Prediction

Abstract

Predicting information cascades holds significant practical implications, including applications in public opinion analysis, rumor control, and product recommendation. Existing approaches have generally overlooked the significance of semantic topics in information cascades or disregarded the dissemination relations. Such models are inadequate in capturing the intricate diffusion process within an information network inundated with diverse topics. To address such problems, we propose a neural-based model using Topic-Aware Masked Attentive Network for Information Cascade Prediction (ICP-TMAN) to predict the next infected node of an information cascade. First, we encode the topical text into user representation to perceive the user-topic dependency. Next, we employ a masked attentive network to devise the diffusion context to capture the user-context dependency. Finally, we exploit a deep attention mechanism to model historical infected nodes for user embedding enhancement to capture user-history dependency. The results of extensive experiments conducted on three real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of ICP-TMAN over existing state-of-the-art approaches.