Does foreign aid promote democratic institutions in post-conflict cambodia? Evidence from ARDL bounds testing approach

Abstract

Whether foreign aid promotes or hinders democratic institutions has been debated with opposing views. This paper investigates short- and long-run effects of foreign aid on democratization in post-conflict Cambodia using autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing and Gregory-Hansen structural break testing approach for cointegration over 1980-2015 period. The findings reveal that net bilateral foreign aid per capita, aggregated and classified into purpose-based 'governance aid', 'economic aid', 'other aid' and 'donor-specific aid' from the US, EU, France, Australia and Japan, promote long-run democratization. In the short run, only governance and economic aid appear to have a consistent positive effect on democratization.