Strategi Kebijakan dalam Memaksimalkan Pemanfaatan Potensi Panas Bumi Untuk Ketahanan Energi dan Transisi Hijau Indonesia

Abstract

This policy paper analyzes strategies to maximize the utilization of Indonesia's geothermal potential to support energy security and the green transition, with a focus on addressing the root cause of the low exploration success rate due to the lack of integrated geoscience data. Through a comprehensive policy analysis method involving regulatory inventory, data tabulation, and expert assessment, this study identifies the Establishment of a Geoscience Survey Institute and a Geothermal Endowment Fund as the most strategic solution with a priority score of 4.4. This policy is designed to provide integrated baseline data that can reduce exploration risks by up to 50%, cut costs by up to 40%, and accelerate project development by 2-3 years. Its implementation requires a comprehensive regulatory framework that includes an institutional legal umbrella, endowment fund management, data integration, and a robust monitoring and evaluation system. Using a logic model approach, this policy is projected to support the achievement of the 6.4 GW geothermal capacity target by 2030, contribute to a reduction in GHG emissions of 35 million tons CO2e/year, while strengthening national energy security based on domestic resources.