Initial mean arterial blood pressure (MABP) measurement is a risk factor for mortality in hypertensive COVID-19 positive hospitalized patients

Abstract

Background Hypertension (HTN) is associated with severe COVID-19 infection; however, it remains unknown if the level of blood pressure (BP) predicts mortality. We tested whether the initial BP in the emergency department of hospitalized patients portends mortality in COVID-19 positive(+) patients. Methods Data from COVID-19(+) and negative (-) hospitalized patients at Stony Brook University Hospital from March to July 2020 were included. The initial mean arterial BPs (MABPs) were categorized into tertiles (T) of MABP (65–85 [T1], 86–97 [T2] and ≥98 [T3] mmHg). Differences were evaluated using univariable (t-tests, chi-squared) tests. Multivariable (MV) logistic regression analyses were computed to assess links between MABP and mortality in hypertensive COVID-19 patients. Results 1549 adults were diagnosed with COVID-19 (+) and 2577 tested negative (-). Mortality of COVID-19(+) was 4.4-fold greater than COVID-19(-) patients. Though HTN prevalance did not differ between COVID-19 groups, the presenting systolic BP, diastolic BP, and MABP were lower in the COVID-19(+) vs (-) cohort. When subjects were categorized into tertiles of MABP, T2 tertile of MABP had the lowest mortality and the T1 tertile of MABP had greatest mortality compared to T2; however, no difference in mortality was noted across tertiles of MABP in COVID-19 (-). MV analysis of COVID-19 (+) subjects exposed death as a risk factor for T1 MABP. Next, the mortality of those with a historic diagnosis of hypertension or normotension were studied. On MV analysis, T1 MABP, gender, age, and first respiratory rate correlated with mortality while lymphocyte count inversely correlated with death in hypertensive COVID-19 (+) patients while neither T1 nor T3 categories of MABP predicted death in non-hypertensives. Conclusions Low-normal admitting MABP in COVID-19 (+) subjects with a historical diagnosis of HTN is associated with mortality and may assist in identifying those at greatest mortality risk.