Event History Analysis of Factors Affecting Survival of Older Adults in Taiwan

Abstract

(1) Background: Due to rapidly increasing average age of Taiwan’s population, it is very important to analyze the factors affecting the survival of older adults. (2) Methods: In this study, the 1989 Taiwan Longitudinal Study on Aging, which lasted 22 years and consisted of seven surveys, was used. Furthermore, Cox and Aalen’s time-dependent frailty models were used to analyze factors that affect the survival of older adults. (3) Results: Based on past literature, we selected 15 important factors that were closely associated with the survival of older adults and constructed six models based on these factors. The study results showed that, in addition to background characteristics, physical and mental conditions, activities of daily living (ADL), physical performance, and self-rated health had a huge association with the survival of older adults. (4) Conclusions: We selected ten variables (age, gender, population, education level, ADL status, physical performance, self-rated health, smoking, chewing betel nut, and the presence of a spouse), and their combinations were used to generate reduced models, which could be considered as important markers that affect and predict the survival of older adults.