Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Scale Inhibitor Efficiency in Oilfield Operations

Abstract

Water injection is widely recognized as one of the most important operational approaches for enhanced oil recovery in oilfields. However, this process faces significant challenges due to the formation of sulfate and carbonate mineral scales caused by high salinity in both injected water and formation water. To address this issue, the use of mineral scale inhibitors has emerged as a valuable solution. In this study, we evaluated the performance of seven machine learning algorithms (Gradient Boosting Machine; k-Nearest Neighbors; Decision Tree; Random Forest; Linear Regression; Neural Network; and Gaussian Process Regression) to predict inhibitor efficiency. The models were trained on a comprehensive dataset of 661 samples (432 for training; 229 for testing) with 66 features including temperature; concentrations of various ions (sodium; calcium, magnesium; barium; strontium; chloride; sulfate; bicarbonate; carbonate, etc.), and inhibitor dosage levels (DTPMP, PPCA, PBTC, EDTMP, BTCA, etc.). The results showed that GPR achieved the highest prediction accuracy with R2 = 0.9608, followed by Neural Network (R2 = 0.9230) and Random Forest (R2 = 0.8822). These findings demonstrate the potential of machine learning approaches for optimizing scale inhibitor performance in oilfield operations