Drought Crisis: A Path-analysis in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

Abstract

Urban drought has seriously hindered the sustainable development. Reducing urban drought vulnerability (UDV) entails more effective and systematic strategies. We discussed the ways to reduce UDV for government in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region from building vulnerability assessment model suitable for urban system, correlation analysis and path analysis. Results indicated that (1) the drought vulnerability of 13 cities in the BTH region fluctuated continuously from 1987 to 2016; (2) the factors affecting UDV are systemic and have the regional characteristic; and (3) the path analysis provide the specific directions for government. This study provides a theoretical basis for the government to manage drought risk.