Comparison of the prognostic value of inflammation-based scores in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after anti-pd-1 therapy

Abstract

Background: Inflammatory response is related to cancer progression and patient survival. However, the value in predicting survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who received anti-PD-1 therapy has not been elucidated. This study aimed to compare the predictive ability of inflammation-based scores for the prognosis of HCC patients after anti-PD-1 therapy. Methods: A total of 442 patients who received anti-PD-1 therapy were included in the study. Representative inflammation-based prognostic scores, including the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein (CRP) ratio (LCR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), systemic immune inflammation index (SII), CRP-to-albumin ratio (CAR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), and prognostic index (PI), were assessed for prediction accuracy using Kaplan–Meier survival curves, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) analyses. Results: All the inflammation-based prognostic scores exhibited good discriminatory ability in overall survival (OS) (all P < 0.01), while the PNI score was a unique independent predictor for OS in multivariate analysis (hazard ratio, 1.770; confidence interval, 1.309– 2.393; P < 0.001). The areas under the ROC curves at 6, 12, 18 and 24 months and the C-index (0.65) demonstrated that the predictive accuracy of the PNI score was superior to that of the other inflammation-based scores. Conclusion: The PNI score is a discriminatory prognostic indicator for OS in HCC patients with anti-PD-1 therapy and is superior to the other inflammation-based prognostic scores in terms of predictive ability.