Deep learning versus manual morphology-based embryo selection in IVF: a randomized, double-blind noninferiority trial

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Abstract

To assess the value of deep learning in selecting the optimal embryo for in vitro fertilization, a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, noninferiority parallel-group trial was conducted across 14 in vitro fertilization clinics in Australia and Europe. Women under 42 years of age with at least two early-stage blastocysts on day 5 were randomized to either the control arm, using standard morphological assessment, or the study arm, employing a deep learning algorithm, intelligent Data Analysis Score (iDAScore), for embryo selection. The primary endpoint was a clinical pregnancy rate with a noninferiority margin of 5%. The trial included 1,066 patients (533 in the iDAScore group and 533 in the morphology group). The iDAScore group exhibited a clinical pregnancy rate of 46.5% (248 of 533 patients), compared to 48.2% (257 of 533 patients) in the morphology arm (risk difference −1.7%; 95% confidence interval −7.7, 4.3; P = 0.62). This study was not able to demonstrate noninferiority of deep learning for clinical pregnancy rate when compared to standard morphology and a predefined prioritization scheme. Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR) registration: 379161.

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Illingworth, P. J., Venetis, C., Gardner, D. K., Nelson, S. M., Berntsen, J., Larman, M. G., … Hardarson, T. (2024). Deep learning versus manual morphology-based embryo selection in IVF: a randomized, double-blind noninferiority trial. Nature Medicine, 30(11), 3114–3120. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-024-03166-5

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