Determination of MIC breakpoints for second-line drugs associated with clinical outcomes in multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment in China

Abstract

Our study aims to identify the clinical breakpoints (CBPs) of second-line drugs (SLDs) above which standard therapy fails in order to improve multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) treatment. MICs of SLDs were determined for M. tuberculosis isolates cultured from 207 MDR-TB patients in a prospective cohort study in China between January 2010 and December 2012. Classification and regression tree (CART) analysis was used to identify the CBPs predictive of treatment outcome. Of the 207 MDR-TB isolates included in the present study, the proportion of isolates above the critical concentration recommended by WHO ranged from 5.3% in pyrazinamide to 62.8% in amikacin. By selecting pyrazinamide as the primary node (CBP, 18.75 mg/liter), 72.1% of sputum culture conversions at month four could be predicted. As for treatment outcome, pyrazinamide (CBP, 37.5 mg/liter) was selected as the primary node to predict 89% of the treatment success, followed by ofloxacin (CBP, 3 mg/liter), improving the predictive capacity of the primary node by 10.6%. Adjusted by identified confounders, the CART-derived pyrazinamide CBP remained the strongest predictor in the model of treatment outcome. Our findings indicate that the critical breakpoints of some second-line drugs and PZA need to be reconsidered in order to better indicate MDR-TB treatment outcome.