Susceptibility to malaria during the prevention of re-establishment phase in Sri Lanka

Abstract

Background: Sri Lanka eliminated malaria in November 2012 and was certified malaria-free by the World Health Organization (WHO) in September 2016 but is facing a challenge to prevent re-establishment of malaria. Influx of travellers from malarious countries and the presence of malaria vectors in formerly endemic areas make the country both receptive and vulnerable. Susceptibility to malaria, the predisposition of populations to be infected by malaria parasites, is influenced by biologic and generic factors such as the age-sex composition, socio economic status, and the migration history of the population. The aim of this study was to assess susceptibility to malaria during the prevention of re-establishment phase in Sri Lanka. Methods: A national survey was conducted among 3454 households. A multistage cluster sampling technique was used to select the households. Susceptibility was assessed based on pre-defined variables by interviewing heads of households using an interviewer-administered questionnaire. Basic socio-demographic information, travel history, history of fever and past malaria infections in the preceding three years were collected. Data were analysed using SPSS version 20 package. Results: The percentage of the population who had been overseas within the last 3 years in the urban sector (4.5%, n = 99) was higher than that of the rural (2.8%, n = 288) and estate sectors (0.2%, n = 2) (p < 0.001); it also declined with the wealth index up to the 4th quintile with a slight rise in the 5th quintile (p < 0.001). The likelihood of travel overseas was 1.75 times (95% CI: 1.38–2.22) higher for urban residents as compared rural estate residents; it was 1.46 times (95% CI: 1.16–1.92) higher for persons from the upper wealth index quintile as compared to persons from the 1st and 2nd quintiles after controlling for sex, age and area of residence. 177 persons had fever within the past 2 weeks of the survey. There was no association between presence of fever within the last 2 weeks and sector or travel abroad. Conclusions: Urban residents, upper socioeconomic class persons and males are more likely to travel overseas and bring the parasite into the country. Social vulnerability and risk of re-establishment of malaria can be assessed by combining susceptibility with resilience and receptivity.