Spatiotemporal Simulation of Soil Moisture in Typical Ecosystems of Northern China: A Methodological Exploration Using HYDRUS-1D

Abstract

Global climate change has intensified the frequency and severity of drought events, posing significant threats to agricultural sustainability, particularly for water-sensitive crops such as tea. In northern China, where precipitation is unevenly distributed and evapotranspiration rates are high, tea plantations frequently experience water stress, leading to reduced yields and declining quality. Therefore, accurately simulating soil water content (SWC) is essential for drought forecasting, soil moisture management, and the development of precision irrigation strategies. However, due to the high complexity of soil–vegetation–atmosphere interactions in field conditions, the practical application of the HYDRUS-1D model in northern China remains relatively limited. To address this issue, a three-year continuous monitoring campaign (2021–2023) was conducted in a coastal area of northern China, covering both young tea plantations and adjacent grasslands. Based on the measured meteorological and soil data, the HYDRUS-1D model was used to simulate SWC dynamics across 10 soil layers (0–100 cm). The model was calibrated and validated against observed SWC data to evaluate its accuracy and applicability. The simulation results showed that the model performed reasonably well, achieving an R2 of 0.739 for the tea plantation and 0.878 for the grassland, indicating good agreement with the measured values. These findings demonstrate the potential of physics-based modeling for understanding vertical soil water processes under different land cover types and provide a scientific basis for improving irrigation strategies and water use efficiency in tea-growing regions.