Incorporating hurricane forecast uncertainty into a decision-support application for power outage modeling

Abstract

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is responsible for issuing official track and intensity forecasts for all tropical cyclones1 (TC) in the Atlantic and northeast Pacific basins. Official tropical cyclone forecasts have a variety of users from the public and private sectors and are often used to drive nonmeteorological models. These downstream models, called decision-support systems, provide useful information to stakeholders regarding tropical cyclonerelated impacts. © 2014 American Meteorological Society.