Harbin 2020 R&D Personnel Demand Forecast Based on Manufacturing Green Innovation System

Abstract

Because of the constraints of energy conservation and the impact on the environment, the manufacturing industry has adopted sustainable development as the goal, and a green manufacturing innovation system based on environmental protection has emerged. In order to provide R&D personnel support to manufacturing enterprises in Harbin, and in order to promote the construction of a green innovation system for manufacturing and the realization of the 13th Five-Year Plan, this article used the grey forecasting model and the univariate linear regression prediction to predict the number of R&D personnel in Harbin in 2020 based on the number of R&D personnel in 2010-2016, and the predicted values were 24,952 and 31,172 respectively. The results show that if Harbin continues to use its original development model, it will not be able to achieve the established development goals by 2020 because of the shortage of R&D personnel. Therefore, it is necessary to increase investment in R&D personnel so as to achieve the 13th Five-Year Plan of Harbin City and protect the ecological green development goals.