Modeling and analyzing cross-transmission dynamics of related information co-propagation

Abstract

The dissemination of one public hot event is usually affected by some related information, and the implication of co-propagation by different information is critical for the integrated analysis. To help in designing effective communication strategies during the whole event, we propose the cross-transmission susceptible-forwarding-immune (CT-SFI) model to describe the dynamics of co-propagation particularly with focus on the cross-transmission effects. This model is based on the forwarding quantity and takes into account the behavior that users may have a strong attraction or continuous attraction within or without an active time after contacting one information. Data fitting using the real data of Chinese Sina-microblog can accurately parameterize the model and parameter sensitivity analysis gives some strategies for co-propagation.