Advanced Geospatial Analysis of Urban Heat Island Dynamics to Support Climate-Resilient and Sustainable Urban Development in a UK Coastal City

Abstract

The Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect represents a major barrier to sustainable urban development, amplifying energy demand, public health risks, and climate vulnerability. This study provides an advanced geospatial assessment of UHI dynamics in Southampton, UK, using Landsat 8 and 9 imagery (2017–2023) to evaluate seasonal and interannual variations relevant to climate-resilient urban planning. This study integrates spatial techniques, including Land Surface Temperature estimation, NDVI-based emissivity modelling, hotspot analysis, and urban–rural gradient profiling, to identify persistent UHI hotspots concentrated in high-density commercial and industrial zones, with intensities reaching 2–3 °C above the citywide mean. It combines seasonal UHI mapping, hotspot analysis, and urban–rural gradient profiling to provide a comprehensive assessment of Southampton’s thermal landscape. The findings reveal persistent UHI hotspots in the city centre and industrial zones, with intensity peaks of 2–3 °C above the mean. Temporal analysis reveals winter-intensified UHI patterns, consistent with climate-sensitive processes observed in temperate coastal environments. Green spaces demonstrate measurable cooling benefits (up to ~1 °C), underscoring their role as sustainable nature-based mitigation strategies. By delivering a replicable, data-driven framework for continuous environmental monitoring, the research directly supports sustainable urban design, targeted greening interventions, and climate-adaptation policies. The findings provide practical tools for reducing heat stress, enhancing energy efficiency, and strengthening long-term urban resilience in medium-sized coastal cities.