Abstract
This paper shows that the supply side of credit is a major factor for hampered monetary policy transmission in monopolistic banking markets. Our stress test data containing projected interest rates of all 1,555 small and medium-sized banks in Germany under two hypothetical scenarios provide a clear way to partial out demand shocks that are unrelated to monetary policy; we are thus able to show that while market power banks charge higher loan rates, they spare their borrowers a part of exogenous monetary policy contractions and withhold a substantial part of rising rates from their depositors. Because high market power banks are relatively more profitable, these banks could be able to insure their relationship customers against adverse shocks.
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Heckmann-Draisbach, L., & Hardt, J. (2026). Hampered Monetary Policy Transmission - A Supply-Side Story? Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 58(4), 1051–1087. https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.13216
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