Sovereign to Corporate Risk Spillovers

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Abstract

The first Greek bailout on April 11, 2010 triggered a significant reevaluation of sovereign credit risk across Europe. We exploit this event to examine the transmission of sovereign to corporate credit risk. A 10% increase in sovereign credit risk raises corporate credit risk on average by 1.1% after the bailout. The evidence is suggestive of risk spillovers from sovereign to corporate credit risk through a financial and a fiscal channel, as the effects are more pronounced for firms that are bank or government dependent. We find no support for indirect risk transmission through a deterioration of macroeconomic fundamentals.

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Augustin, P., Boustanifar, H., Breckenfelder, J., & Schnitzler, J. (2018). Sovereign to Corporate Risk Spillovers. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 50(5), 857–891. https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12497

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