Implementation of fuzzy mamdani method in predicting cayenne chili prices in Tegal Regency

Abstract

This study investigates the application of Fuzzy Mamdani's method in predicting the price of cayenne pepper in Tegal Regency, one of the important agricultural commodities that has significant economic implications. This study aims to develop an accurate and reliable cayenne pepper price prediction model in Tegal Regency using the fuzzy Mamdani method. Research methods include collecting historical data on cayenne pepper prices, cayenne pepper production, and rainfall, as well as the implementation of the Mamdani fuzzy method consisting of fuzzification, inference, and defuzzification using Python programming language computing. The results showed that the fuzzy Mamdani method can predict the price of cayenne pepper with a good level of accuracy, with an average prediction error of 16.653285% and a prediction correctness rate of 83.346715%. This finding has implications for improving production planning capabilities and marketing strategies for cayenne pepper farmers in Tegal District, as well as contributing to the scientific literature in the application of fuzzy methods in agriculture