Effect of Waiting Time for Radioactive Iodine Therapy on Outcome in N1 Stage Papillary Thyroid Cancer

Abstract

Context: The waiting time for radioactive iodine therapy (WRAIT) after total thyroidectomy (TT) in patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and lymph node metastases (N1) has not been sufficiently investigated for risk of adverse outcomes. Objective: This work aimed to estimate the effect of WRAIT on the outcomes of disease persistence and recurrence among patients with N1 PTC and investigate factors predictive of delayed radioactive iodine therapy (RAIT). Methods: This retrospective cohort study was conducted in a university hospital. A total of 909 patients with N1 PTC were referred for RAIT between 2014 and 2018. WRAIT is the duration between TT and initial RAIT. The optimal WRAIT threshold determined using recursive partitioning analysis was used to define early and delayed RAIT. The primary end point was tumor persistence/recurrence. We compared the outcomes of patients with early and delayed RAIT using inverse probability weighting based on the propensity score. Results: The WRAIT threshold that optimally differentiated worse long-term remission/excellent response outcomes was greater than 88 days (51% of our cohort; n = 464). WRAIT exceeding 88 days was associated with an augmented risk of disease persistence/recurrence (odds ratio, 2.47; 95% CI, 1.60-3.82) after adjustment. Predictors of delayed RAIT included residence in lower-income areas, reoperation before the initial RAIT, TT at a nonuniversity-affiliated hospital, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension, N1b disease, and pre–RAIT-stimulated thyroglobulin level less than 1 ng/mL. Conclusion: Delayed RAIT beyond 88 days after TT in patients with N1 PTC independently increased the risk of disease persistence/recurrence. Evaluation of the predictive determinants of prolonged WRAIT may help target at-risk patients and facilitate interventions.