Prediksi Harga Emas dengan Menggunakan Metode Naïve Bayes dalam Investasi untuk Meminimalisasi Resiko

Abstract

The high low price of gold influenced by many factors such as economic conditions, inflation rate, supply and demand and much more. The Naïve Bayes algorithm is capable of generating a classification that is used to predict future opportunities. By using the Naïve Bayes Classifier algorithm obtained a prediction of gold prices that can help decision makers in determining whether to sell or buy gold. By using the Naïve Bayes Classifier algorithm obtained a prediction of gold prices that can help decision makers in determining whether to sell or buy gold. Gold data will be processed using Rapidminer software. Stages of processing are reading training data, calculating the mean and standard deviation, entering the test data and finding the density value of gauss and then looking for probability value. Based on the calculation that has been done, Naïve Bayes Classifier method is able to predict the price of gold for 1 day ahead or every day. With the results of this calculation is expected to help gold investment actors in increasing accuracy to predict gold prices for decision making.